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Econometrics Seminar: Richard S.J. Tol, University of Sussex

Title: Endogenous population growth and the social cost of carbon

Info about event

Time

Wednesday 13 May 2026,  at 12:15 - 13:30

Location

Universitetsbyen 51, Building 1816, room 613

Speaker: Richard S.J. Tol, University of Sussex

Link to personal website: profiles.sussex.ac.uk/p289812-richard-tol

Title: Endogenous population growth and the social cost of carbon

Abstract: Most integrated assessment models assume exogenous population growth. I present an extension of a standard integrated assessment model, in which climate change affects mortality and economic growth affects fertility and mortality, and use this to estimate the social cost of carbon. Endogenizing population growth can increase or decrease the social cost of carbon, depending on the population elasticity of welfare and the critical utility. Individually estimated values of these parameters indicate a sharp increase in the social cost of carbon, but jointly calibrated values do not.

Host: Eric Hillebrand


Organisers: Stefán Guðmundsson and Chen Huang